Finance
German logistics firms face challenging 2026, says industry group
Published by Global Banking and Finance Review
Posted on October 22, 2025
2 min readLast updated: January 21, 2026
Global Banking and Finance Review
Company
Published by Global Banking and Finance Review
Posted on October 22, 2025
2 min readLast updated: January 21, 2026
German logistics firms expect slight growth in 2026, with BVL presenting varied scenarios amid trade policy and cybersecurity challenges.
BERLIN (Reuters) -German logistics firms are under pressure heading into 2026, a year in which only slight growth of 0.5% year-on-year in real terms is expected, according to a forecast published by the industry association BVL on Wednesday
A group of logistics experts presented for the first time three different scenarios instead of a single forecast due to the uncertain economic and geopolitical situation.
In the optimistic case, real growth of 1.1% is possible, while in the pessimistic scenario, the sector faces a 0.4% decline.
The current mood in autumn 2025 is assessed by the specialists as slightly negative, even though investment intentions are stable.
The experts cited several factors for their scepticism, with an uncertain trade policy environment at the top.
In addition, an increase in cyberattacks is to be expected, which would tie up a relevant share of IT budgets, the group said.
The sector is placing great hope in efficiency gains through more automation, digitalization, and artificial intelligence.
(Reporting by Klaus Lauer, writing by Maria Martinez, editing by Miranda Murray)
Economic growth refers to an increase in the production of goods and services in an economy over a period of time, typically measured by the rise in Gross Domestic Product (GDP).
Cybersecurity involves protecting computer systems, networks, and data from theft, damage, or unauthorized access. It is crucial for safeguarding sensitive information in various sectors.
Automation in logistics refers to the use of technology to perform tasks without human intervention, improving efficiency, accuracy, and speed in supply chain operations.
Digitalization is the process of converting information into a digital format, enabling easier access, sharing, and management of data across various platforms.
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