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GERMAN INVESTOR CONFIDENCE RECOVERS AFTER DROP

Published by Gbaf News

Posted on November 19, 2014

1 min read
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German Investor Confidence Rebounds in November

BERLIN (AP) — A closely-watched survey shows German investors’ confidence in the economy has recovered somewhat following a 10-month decline.

The ZEW institute said Tuesday its index rose by 15.1 points in November, bringing it back into positive territory for an overall reading of 11.5.

ZEW Index Remains Below Historical Average

That’s still far below its long-term average of 24.4 points, but ZEW head Clemens Fuerst said it’s a good sign.

Euro Area Growth Supports Confidence Recovery

He says “the recent growth figures for the euro area suggest that the economy is stabilizing,” which helped restore confidence.

But he warns “the economic environment remains fragile, not least due to ongoing geopolitical tensions.”

Outlook Improves While Current Conditions Stagnate

The survey of 220 analysts showed that while expectations for the future improved, views of Germany’s current situation were largely unchanged.

Germany Avoids Recession With Modest Growth

Germany posted 0.1 percent third-quarter growth, avoiding recession after a second-quarter contraction.

Key Takeaways

  • German investor confidence rebounded sharply in November following a prolonged decline.
  • ZEW index rose by 15.1 points to 11.5, but remains below its long‑term average of 24.4.
  • Economists view stabilization in euro‑area growth as positive, though economic risks persist.
  • Expectations improved, while assessments of current conditions were largely unchanged.

References

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the ZEW index?
The ZEW index is a monthly survey of around 220 analysts measuring German investor confidence in economic prospects, with values above zero indicating positive sentiment.
How much did confidence improve?
In November, the ZEW index rose by 15.1 points to 11.5, returning to positive territory after a 10‑month decline.
Is confidence back to normal?
No — despite the rebound to 11.5, investor confidence is still well below its long‑term average of 24.4.
What factors influenced the rebound?
Stabilizing growth figures in the euro area helped restore confidence, according to ZEW head Clemens Fuerst.

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