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Finance

Expedia beats quarterly estimates, flags hit from Middle East war

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on May 7, 2026

2 min read

· Last updated: May 7, 2026

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Expedia forecasts downbeat bookings on Middle East war impact 

By Anshuman Tripathy

Expedia’s Financial Outlook and Market Impact

May 7 (Reuters) - Online travel platform Expedia forecast current-quarter gross bookings below Wall Street estimates on Thursday as the Middle East conflict impacted demand, sending its shares down 6% in after-hours trading.

Industry-Wide Demand Recovery Concerns

An uncertain rest of the year threatens demand recovery in the travel industry as trade volatility and prolonged conflict could further increase costs for customers.

CEO Commentary on Regional Impacts

"In March, we did see the impact of the conflict in the Middle East," CEO Ariane Gorin told Reuters in an interview.

"While the Middle East is only about 2% of our business, we saw cancellations across Europe and Asia."

Gross Bookings and Room Nights Effect

Gorin said there was a two-point impact on the company's gross bookings and room nights arising from the Middle East conflict and travel advisories in Mexico.

Broader Industry Effects

Peer Booking Holdings and hotel operators such as Marriott and Hilton have also flagged a hit to profitability due to the war, which erupted in late February.  

Financial Performance and Forecasts

Second-Quarter Gross Bookings Guidance

Seattle-based Expedia expects second-quarter gross bookings to be in the range of $32.5 billion to $33.1 billion, the midpoint of which is slightly below analysts' average estimate of $33 billion, according to data compiled by LSEG.

"The cancellations have subsided as we go into April, but certainly that was an impact," Gorin said.

Advertising and Media Business Growth

The company's advertising and media business rose 15% during the first quarter, aided by Trivago, which recorded a 47% growth in revenue. 

Quarterly Results Overview

Quarterly gross bookings rose nearly 13% from a year earlier, driven by strong demand for international travel. Gorin said that revenue growth was faster outside the U.S. than in the country.

Profit and Revenue Highlights

The Vrbo-parent reported an adjusted profit of $1.96 per share for the first quarter, beating analysts' estimates of $1.38 apiece.

Revenue for the quarter ended March 31 rose about 15% to $3.43 billion. Analysts on average expected $3.35 billion.

(Reporting by Anshuman Tripathy in Bengaluru; Editing by Jonathan Ananda)

Key Takeaways

  • Expedia beat Q1 estimates with adjusted EPS of $1.96 vs est. $1.38 and revenue of $3.43B vs $3.35B expected (expediagroup.com)
  • Middle East war and Mexico travel advisories trimmed gross bookings and room nights by ~2 percentage points in March, despite the region accounting for just ~2% of business (expediagroup.com)
  • Expedia’s Q2 gross bookings guidance midpoint is slightly below analysts’ $33B expectation (guidance: $32.5–33.1B), highlighting ongoing uncertainty amid trade volatility and geopolitical risks (expediagroup.com)

References

Frequently Asked Questions

How did Expedia perform in the first quarter?
Expedia beat Wall Street estimates for both profit and revenue in the first quarter, driven by strong international travel demand.
What impact did the Middle East conflict have on Expedia?
The Middle East conflict resulted in increased cancellations across Europe and Asia, causing a two-point impact on gross bookings and room nights.
What are Expedia's expectations for the second quarter?
Expedia expects second-quarter gross bookings to be between $32.5 billion and $33.1 billion, slightly below analyst estimates.
Did Expedia’s advertising and media business grow?
Yes, Expedia’s advertising and media business rose 15% in the first quarter, with Trivago revenue growing by 47%.
Where did Expedia see the fastest revenue growth?
Expedia reported that revenue growth was faster outside the U.S. compared to within the country.

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