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    1. Home
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    3. >European gasoline heads to Asia as Iran war sparks supply fears
    Finance

    European Gasoline Heads to Asia as Iran War Sparks Supply Fears

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on March 23, 2026

    4 min read

    Last updated: March 23, 2026

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    Tags:FinanceMarketsCommodities

    Quick Summary

    With the U.S.–Israeli war spurring disruptions via the Strait of Hormuz, Asia is pulling in 1.6 million barrels of European gasoline amid soaring margins and constrained regional supply. U.S. and Russian fuel are also being sought to fill the gap.

    European Gasoline Flows Shift to Asia Amid Iran War and Rising Supply Fears

    Impact of Middle East Conflict on Global Gasoline Trade

    By Mohi Narayan and Ahmad Ghaddar

    Gasoline Cargoes Redirected to Asia Pacific

    NEW DELHI/LONDON, March 23 (Reuters) - European and U.S. gasoline cargoes are heading to the Asia Pacific after Asian prices surged on tightening supply due to the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran, according to trade sources and shipping data.

    The war has disrupted crude and oil product shipments from the Middle East to Asia, causing Asian refineries to cut output and forcing fuel distributors to seek supply from as far as the United States and buy more Russian fuel.

    The extra shipping costs will exacerbate already soaring fuel prices for consumers and businesses.

    Key Players and Shipments

    At least three gasoline cargoes totalling about 1.6 million barrels have loaded last week from Europe for Asia, according to traders and ship tracking data from Kpler, as companies including Vitol and TotalEnergies ship the fuel to the East to cash in on better margins in Asia.

    Vitol and TotalEnergies declined to comment.

    Earlier, Exxon Mobil booked U.S. gasoline cargoes for Australia.

    Europe typically only sends small parcels of gasoline to the East of Suez markets, while its key markets are the U.S., Latin America and West Africa.

    Asian Refinery Margins and Market Dynamics

    Asian refiners' profits from making a barrel of gasoline from Brent crude are hovering near 2022 highs of about $37 a barrel over Brent crude last week versus $8 before the war.

    Refinery Behavior Amid Supply Uncertainty

    "One key factor is refinery behaviour under crude supply uncertainty. As disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz increase feedstock risk, some refiners are becoming more cautious about run rates or export commitments," Nithin Prakash, analyst at consultancy Rystad Energy, said.

    Even if inventories currently appear comfortable, lower refining throughput could tighten the supply outlook and support gasoline margins, he said.

    Singapore Inventory Levels

    Singapore inventories of light distillates, which include gasoline and naphtha, are about 6% higher than the same time last year, at 17.93 million barrels, LSEG data showed.

    Regional Supply Challenges

    Declining Shipments from Major Exporters

    REGIONAL SUPPLY FALLS

    Gasoline supply from within the region is falling as shipments from top fuel exporter South Korea are expected to drop to between 5 million and 6 million barrels in March from a three-month average of about 10 million barrels, preliminary Kpler and LSEG data showed.

    China, another big supplier, has banned fuel exports to shore up its domestic market. Thailand and Vietnam have also restricted fuel exports.

    India's Role in Asian Gasoline Supply

    Traders are now pinning their hopes on Asia's second largest fuel exporter, India, which typically sends about 40% of its monthly shipments of between 7 million and 8 million barrels to the Middle East, to pivot to the East.

    India typically sends about 22% of its gasoline to Asia, LSEG data showed. However, the country's gasoline exports have plummeted to about 5 million to 6 million barrels in March from around 12 million barrels last month, preliminary LSEG and Kpler data showed, as state-run Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals has temporarily suspended cargo loadings.

    Recent Gasoline Shipments Overview

    Vessel Movements and Cargo Details

    Vessel Load port Discharge Volume Load Charterer

    port (bbl) date

    Maui Ventspils Singapore 770,000 March 18 Vitol

    Metro Mistral Amsterdam Karachi 500,000 March 14 TotalEnergies

    ST Connaught Amsterdam Singapore 400,000 March 17 NA

    Source: Kpler and shipping data from traders

    (Reporting by Mohi Narayan in New Delhi, Ahmad Ghaddar and Enes Tunagur in London, and Shariq Khan in New York; Editing by Sonali Paul)

    References

    • War with Iran chokes flows of oil and natural gas, highlighting energy security risks for Asia
    • Iran war pushes countries into energy triage as they conserve power and curb soaring prices
    • US drivers see gas prices jump to their highest level since 2023 as the Iran war drags on

    Table of Contents

    Key Takeaways

    • •Asia is importing unusually large gasoline shipments from Europe—about 1.6 million barrels last week—as regional supply tightens amid the Iran war and Strait of Hormuz disruptions, boosting Asian gasoline margins to near 2022 highs (~$37 over Brent) (apnews.com)
    • •Middle Eastern export routes via the Strait of Hormuz have been severely disrupted by attacks, choking off regional oil and gas flows—about a fifth of global seaborne crude and LNG—prompting buyers in Asia to seek fuel from distant markets including Europe, the U.S., and Russia ()

    Frequently Asked Questions about European gasoline heads to Asia as Iran war sparks supply fears

    1Why are European gasoline cargoes being sent to Asia?

    Asian gasoline prices have surged due to supply disruptions from the Middle East caused by the US-Israeli war with Iran, prompting European cargoes to head east.

    2How has the Iran war affected global gasoline supply?

    The war has disrupted oil product shipments from the Middle East, causing Asian refineries to reduce output and leading to fuel shortages in the region.

    • Impact of Middle East Conflict on Global Gasoline Trade
    • Gasoline Cargoes Redirected to Asia Pacific
    • Key Players and Shipments
    • Asian Refinery Margins and Market Dynamics
    • Refinery Behavior Amid Supply Uncertainty
    • Singapore Inventory Levels
    • Regional Supply Challenges
    • Declining Shipments from Major Exporters
    • India's Role in Asian Gasoline Supply
    • Recent Gasoline Shipments Overview
    • Vessel Movements and Cargo Details
    apnews.com
  • •The ripple effects are widespread: gasoline prices in the U.S. have surged (e.g. above $3.84/gal, the highest since 2023), U.S. refiners are booking exports to Asia, and European and Asian economies face elevated energy costs and inflation pressure (apnews.com)
  • 3What impact have shipping costs had on fuel prices?

    Longer shipping distances and supply shortages are increasing fuel prices for consumers and businesses across Asia.

    4How are Asian countries responding to tighter gasoline supply?

    Countries like China, Thailand, and Vietnam have restricted fuel exports to prioritize domestic markets, increasing regional scarcity.

    5What is the role of India in Asia’s gasoline supply?

    India is Asia's second largest fuel exporter, but its gasoline exports have recently dropped due to temporary refinery suspensions.

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