European blue-chip earnings set for strongest growth since late 2022 - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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European blue-chip earnings set for strongest growth since late 2022

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on May 15, 2026

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· Last updated: May 15, 2026

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European Blue-Chip Companies to Achieve Strongest Earnings Growth Since 2022

Overview of European Blue-Chip Earnings Performance

May 15 (Reuters) - European blue-chip companies are on track to deliver the strongest earnings growth since the fourth quarter of 2022, the latest LSEG I/B/E/S data showed on Thursday, though revenue was still expected to fall.

Buoyed by exceptional profits from the energy sector and a better-than-expected performance of financial companies, earnings of European blue-chips are now expected to have grown 11.5% year-on-year in the first quarter, on average.

That is based on results from 265 companies in the benchmark STOXX 600 index and market estimates for those that are yet to report.

Key Financial Metrics and Trends

• European blue-chips are now expected to report a 0.4% decline in first-quarter revenue

• Revenues have lagged earnings in seven out of eight previous quarters

• Companies have taken measures to tackle the economic slowdown in recent years by optimising costs in order to improve their earnings

Sector Performance Breakdown

Energy Sector

• European energy majors are seen posting profits 50.4% higher than those in the same period last year, thanks to higher oil prices as a result of the war in the Middle East

• Before the outbreak of the conflict, they were forecast to fall by 2%

Financial Sector

• The European financial sector has also outperformed expectations, with 68% of companies posting earnings above estimates, according to the I/B/E/S data

Real Estate Sector

• The real estate sector, on the other hand, is on track to deliver profits 23.9% below those of last year

Regional and Index Performance

• The STOXX 600 index is up 4% since the beginning of the year, but still about 3% below pre-war levels

• Norwegian and Spanish companies in the index are expected to deliver the highest earnings growth on average at 56.3% and 31.5%, respectively

• Meanwhile, respective profits of Portuguese and Danish firms are seen declining 34.3% and 8.5%

(Reporting by Javi West Larrañaga in Gdansk, editing by Milla Nissi-Prussak)

Key Takeaways

  • Earnings growth for STOXX 600 blue‑chip firms is projected at 11.5% year‑on‑year in Q1, the strongest since Q4 2022, buoyed by soaring energy sector profits and surprisingly strong financials.
  • First-quarter revenues are still expected to decline around 0.4%, continuing a trend of earnings outpacing revenues amid aggressive cost optimization.
  • Energy majors benefit from elevated oil prices amid the Middle East conflict, while real estate remains weak; divergence is stark across sectors, with some countries like Norway and Spain leading in earnings growth while others like Portugal and Denmark lag.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the expected earnings growth for European blue-chip companies in Q1 2024?
European blue-chip companies are projected to achieve 11.5% year-on-year earnings growth in the first quarter of 2024.
Which sectors are driving the earnings growth in Europe?
The energy sector and financial companies are the main drivers, with energy majors expected to post 50.4% higher profits compared to last year.
Are European blue-chip revenues also increasing alongside earnings?
No, European blue-chip revenues are expected to decline by 0.4% in the first quarter, continuing a trend where revenues have lagged earnings.
Which countries in Europe are expected to see the highest earnings growth?
Norwegian and Spanish companies in the STOXX 600 index are projected to have the highest earnings growth, at 56.3% and 31.5% respectively.
How has the real estate sector performed compared to last year?
The European real estate sector is on track to deliver profits 23.9% below those of the previous year.

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