ECB FACES UP TO THE COLD REALITY OF A SIGNIFICANT POLICY FAILURE - Top Stories news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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ECB FACES UP TO THE COLD REALITY OF A SIGNIFICANT POLICY FAILURE

Published by Gbaf News

Posted on June 10, 2014

2 min read
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The European Central Bank (ECB-POLICY-RATES-82f6314e-6203-420b-bc8b-70a978546822>ECB-POLICY-CENTENO-a52f21b9-8975-4dc5-9a21-8c5e8267aa43>ECB-POLICY-RATES-82f6314e-6203-420b-bc8b-70a978546822>ECB) is “finally facing up to the cold reality of Europe’s weak banks”, according to one of the world’s largest independent financial advisory organisations.

Market Reactions to ECB Actions

The observations from deVere Group, which has $10bn under advice and 80,000 clients, come after Mario Draghi, the ECB-POLICY-RATES-82f6314e-6203-420b-bc8b-70a978546822>ECB-POLICY-CENTENO-a52f21b9-8975-4dc5-9a21-8c5e8267aa43>ECB-POLICY-RATES-82f6314e-6203-420b-bc8b-70a978546822>ECB president, announced a raft of measures to combat low inflation and boost the Eurozone’s economy.

To prevent the risk of deflation and reduce the strength of the euro, the ECB-POLICY-RATES-82f6314e-6203-420b-bc8b-70a978546822>ECB-POLICY-CENTENO-a52f21b9-8975-4dc5-9a21-8c5e8267aa43>ECB-POLICY-RATES-82f6314e-6203-420b-bc8b-70a978546822>ECB has cut its main refinancing interest rate to 0.15 per cent from 0.25 per cent.  In addition, and for the first time, banks will be charged 0.10 per cent to keep funds at Europe’s central bank overnight.

Tom Elliott

Tom Elliott

Impact on Bank Lending Behavior

Tom Elliott, deVere Group’s International Investment Strategist, comments:  “This addresses head-on a key problem in the region’s economy, which is banks’ preference to hoard cash in order to help repair their balance sheets.

“The bold action launched on Thursday means that the region’s banks will now have to pay the ECB-POLICY-RATES-82f6314e-6203-420b-bc8b-70a978546822>ECB-POLICY-CENTENO-a52f21b9-8975-4dc5-9a21-8c5e8267aa43>ECB-POLICY-RATES-82f6314e-6203-420b-bc8b-70a978546822>ECB to hold their cash.  It is intended to force banks to lend out their cash instead, so boosting economic recovery.”

Comparisons with US Crisis Response

He continues: “There was no Eurozone version of the TARP in the US, that allowed banks to write-off bad loans and start afresh after the credit crunch. Instead the bad loans became nationalised, through state bailouts of banks, or left to fester on banks’ balance sheets, creating a region of weak banks.  It is this policy failure that is at the heart of weak growth and rightful anxieties over the threat of deflation.

ECB Measures and Their Significance

“These measures confirm that the ECB-POLICY-RATES-82f6314e-6203-420b-bc8b-70a978546822>ECB-POLICY-CENTENO-a52f21b9-8975-4dc5-9a21-8c5e8267aa43>ECB-POLICY-RATES-82f6314e-6203-420b-bc8b-70a978546822>ECB is finally facing up to the cold reality of Europe’s weak banks.”

Mr Elliott concludes: “European stock markets have rallied, the euro has weakened and the markets appear satisfied – for now – that the ECB-POLICY-RATES-82f6314e-6203-420b-bc8b-70a978546822>ECB-POLICY-CENTENO-a52f21b9-8975-4dc5-9a21-8c5e8267aa43>ECB-POLICY-RATES-82f6314e-6203-420b-bc8b-70a978546822>ECB will act to prevent further falls in consumer prices.”

Key Takeaways

  • ECB cut its main refinancing rate to 0.15% from 0.25% to counter low inflation and boost lending.
  • For the first time the ECB introduced a negative deposit rate of –0.10%, charging banks to hold overnight funds.
  • deVere Group comments that the policy acknowledges Europe’s weak banks and aims to force them to lend rather than hoard cash.
  • Markets responded positively: European stocks rallied and the euro weakened as investors welcomed ECB decisive action.

References

Frequently Asked Questions

Why did the ECB cut rates to these levels?
To combat low inflation, reduce upward pressure on the euro and encourage banks to lend rather than hold cash.
What is a negative deposit rate?
It means banks pay the central bank to hold their overnight funds, incentivising them to lend out cash instead.
Who commented on this ECB move?
Tom Elliott of deVere Group, who highlighted that this policy finally acknowledges the problem of weak European banks.
How did markets react?
European stock markets rallied and the euro weakened, reflecting market approval of ECB’s measures.

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