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Dollar edges higher after larger-than-expected rise in May payrolls
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(Updates prices, adds unemployment rate from report in paragraph 3, adds analyst quote in paragraph 7, adds comments from Fed officials in paragraphs 8 and 9, adds FX table)
(Updates prices, adds unemployment rate from report in paragraph 3, adds analyst quote in paragraph 7, adds comments from Fed officials in paragraphs 8 and 9, adds FX table)
By Hannah Lang
WASHINGTON (Reuters) – The U.S. dollar edged higher in choppy trading on Friday after May’s non-farm payrolls report showed employment surged but a jump in unemployment rate capped the gains.
The report showed that payrolls in the public and private sector increased by 339,000 in May, surging past expectations. Economists polled by Reuters expected non-farm payrolls to have increased by 190,000 in May, from April’s 253,000 rise.
Despite strong hiring, the unemployment rate rose to 3.7% from a 53-year low of 3.4% in April.
The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency against six others, was last up 0.193% at 103.720.
On Thursday, the dollar index slid 0.62%, its worst day in almost a month, as the view took hold that the U.S. Federal Reserve will forgo an interest rate hike this month, which would diminish the greenback’s appeal to non-U.S. buyers.
Money markets are pricing in a roughly 29% chance of a June hike, down from near 70% earlier in the week.
“The challenge is that we’ve entered the Fed’s blackout period ahead of the [Federal Open Market Committee] meeting, which means it’s going to be hard to see a pushback from officials or any guidance from officials after this employment report,” said Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex.
Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker said on Thursday it was “time to at least hit the stop button for one meeting and see how it goes”, referring to the Fed’s upcoming June 13-14 meeting.
A day earlier, Fed Governor Philip Jefferson said “skipping a rate hike at a coming meeting would allow the committee to see more data before making decisions about the extent of additional policy firming.”
Still, Fed officials aren’t ruling out a hike later in the summer, said City Index markets strategist Fiona Cincotta.
“I think that expectation could still keep the dollar supported,” she said. “Also, let’s not forget inflation is still high.”
The U.S. Senate’s passage of a bill Thursday night to suspend the debt ceiling and avert a disastrous default also removed a pillar of support for the dollar, which had paradoxically been a key beneficiary of the uncertainty because of its safe-haven status.
The euro was last down 0.2% at $1.07405, off its highest in around a week after a boost on Thursday from European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde, who said further policy tightening was necessary.
The Australian dollar surged after Australia’s independent wage-setting body announced that it would raise the minimum wage by 5.75% from July 1, stoking bets for another raise in rates next week. The Aussie rose by as much as 0.93% to $0.663, its strongest since May 24, and was last up 0.72% versus the greenback at $0.662.
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Currency bid prices at 10:20AM (1420 GMT)
Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid
Previous Change
Session
Dollar index 103.7200 103.5400 +0.19% 0.222% +103.7600 +103.3800
Euro/Dollar $1.0739 $1.0762 -0.20% +0.24% +$1.0779 +$1.0735
Dollar/Yen 139.5050 138.8150 +0.49% +6.39% +139.5100 +138.6000
Euro/Yen 149.81 149.36 +0.30% +6.78% +149.8800 +149.2600
Dollar/Swiss 0.9077 0.9055 +0.27% -1.82% +0.9085 +0.9037
Sterling/Dollar $1.2508 $1.2526 -0.12% +3.45% +$1.2544 +$1.2495
Dollar/Canadian 1.3435 1.3449 -0.08% -0.82% +1.3450 +1.3408
Aussie/Dollar $0.6619 $0.6573 +0.72% -2.88% +$0.6638 +$0.6572
Euro/Swiss 0.9746 0.9743 +0.03% -1.51% +0.9760 +0.9731
Euro/Sterling 0.8583 0.8592 -0.10% -2.95% +0.8599 +0.8579
NZ $0.6079 $0.6070 +0.16% -4.24% +$0.6111 +$0.6060
Dollar/Dollar
Dollar/Norway 11.0080 11.0480 -0.28% +12.26% +11.0620 +10.9640
Euro/Norway 11.8235 11.8970 -0.62% +12.67% +11.9295 +11.8038
Dollar/Sweden 10.7580 10.8021 -0.70% +3.36% +10.8170 +10.6850
Euro/Sweden 11.5484 11.6296 -0.70% +3.56% +11.6364 +11.5097
(Reporting by Hannah Lang in Washington; Additional reporting by Amanda Cooper and Dhara Ranasinghe in London and Kevin Buckland in Tokyo; Editing by Mark Heinrich, Mark Potter, Andrew Heavens, Emelia Sithole-Matarise and Sriraj Kalluvila)
The dollar index measures the value of the U.S. dollar against a basket of six major currencies, providing an indication of the dollar's strength in the foreign exchange market.
Monetary policy involves the actions of a central bank to control the money supply and interest rates to achieve macroeconomic objectives such as controlling inflation and stabilizing the currency.
Currency hedging is a financial strategy used to reduce the risk of adverse price movements in foreign exchange by taking offsetting positions in currency markets.
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