By Sarah Kocianski is Head of Analysis and Research Manager at 11:FS
The coronavirus pandemic has greatly increased volatility in the world’s stock markets, with sharp falls followed by some remarkable rallies. That volatility and uncertainty, and investor responses to it, have brought investment management firms to the point where they need to make wholesale changes to areas like business processes and product development if they want to survive.
Global stock markets have been in turmoil as the Covid-19 crisis unfolds. Most of this volatility was the result of the economic disruption caused by efforts to stem the spread of Covid-19, although the ongoing battle over oil output between Saudi Arabia and Russia played a part. Overall, Q1 2020 was stock markets’ worst quarter since 2008 and while things have since picked up, there is no certainty that things will continue in that direction as recessions around the world bite.
The crisis has arrived during a boom in retail investing
Over recent years there’s been substantial growth in the number of individuals turning to investing driven by a combination of reduced opportunities to grow wealth in other areas such as deposit interest and property, and the emergence of new low-cost digital services and platforms. Specifically:
- Automated investment products simplified stock selection. First came the automated investment products from firms like MoneyFarm, Nutmeg, Scalable Capital and Wealthfront which built portfolios managed by algorithms for individuals with smaller sums than human advisors would take on.
- New digital platforms offer low cost, or free, trading. Then came the new brokerage platforms such as DeGiro, Freetrade and Robinhood, which enable fee-free purchasing and selling of shares, and fractions of shares, by individuals via apps and websites. These services are popular — Robinhood, the largest of these new brokerage platforms, claimed it had 10 million users in December 2019 a figure which has risen to 13 million since the beginning of 2020.
- Incumbents responded with their own digital propositions. In response, incumbent wealth managers such as Charles Schwab, JPMorgan Chase and Vanguard rolled out their own automated investment products and slashed or eradicated brokerage fees to avoid losing customers to the newcomers and get in on the boom.
The Impact Of The Coronavirus Has Been Widespread
The impact of the pandemic has been felt across the investment management industry, with some notable outcomes:
- Portfolio values are dropping. While some investors see the current situation as an opportunity, others are concerned as they watch the value of their portfolios swing wildly. Many have seen 10% or greater overall declines. That 10% figure is important, particularly in the EU where it triggers a requirement on the portfolio manager to alert the customer to the fact, which in turn can trigger panic.
- Investors are shifting to “safe-haven” investments. As investors seek to diversify their risk many are moving towards assets that are perceived as safer, such as US Treasuries and gold. Gold is often turned to in periods of economic instability, and amid the current crisis demand went up to levels last seen in the months immediately following the financial crash of 2008.
- New account openings have surged. The number of customers opening accounts with brokerage services and automated platforms has increased amid the current crisis. That’s due to;
- Bold new investors wanting to capitalise on the market volatility
- Some people having more disposable income as spending on travel and socialising is curtailed
- Others suddenly having the time to explore investing when they have been meaning to do so for a while
- And existing investors switching as they seek lower fees or express dissatisfaction with existing providers’ response to the crisis.
- Both newcomers and incumbents have seen record volumes of new customer sign ups.
- Platforms are creaking. As new and existing investors look to make the most of volatile markets, they are trading at unprecedented rates. Some platforms have been unable to keep up with that demand. Robinhood, for example, suffered several days of outages in early March which saw furious customers demanding compensation as they missed out on making trades.
- Paper processes are causing problems. Some brokers still send paper order forms for share sales or purchases, while many fund and pension providers use paper forms to process fund transfers. As remote working becomes the norm, companies are unable to deal with these bits of paper. Security protocols don’t allow them to be sent to an employee’s house. Even if they did, employees are unlikely to want to handle large volumes of correspondence that others have touched.
- Advisors can’t keep up with demand for personal communication. Financial advisors, who often rely on strong personal connections with their customers, have been cut off from their clients in an environment where social distancing rules mean that they can no longer meet in person. Clients, clamouring for advice, will not be happy with a phone call unless it’s with their personal advisor, something that individual advisors’ lack of capacity makes highly unlikely to happen.
- New investing services are facing their first real test. In the past decade, dozens of new digital investment managers have launched with a wide variety of business models and investing strategies, including copying other investors’ trades, thematic investing and environmental, social and governance (ESG) strategies. The increased volatility of the past few weeks are putting those investment strategies to the test for the first time.
The implications: Falling revenues will accelerate consolidation and force customer-centric innovation
The impact of Covid-19 will be felt for months, and most likely years, with a global recession now inevitable. That’s going to result in declining assets under management (AUM), and hence fees, along with significant changes in investor behaviour. The investment management industry needs to reevaluate how it operates in order to accommodate those changes, along with the broader economic ramifications. Here’s what we expect to see over the next few months and years:
- People stop investing. Many people who have lost their livelihoods will simply no longer be able to afford to invest and be forced to liquidate their portfolios. Others, who have recently started investing, may realise it’s not for them or find their financial situation changes as the full impact of the virus on economies takes hold. Some cautious retail investors will decide investing in the stock market no longer fits with their risk appetite, and shift funds to assets like gold, property or, more likely, bank deposits. Fewer customers and lower fees will result in wealth managers culling many of the retail investment services they have rolled out in recent years, to focus only on the most profitable.
- People start investing. On the other hand we have seen an influx of new investors open accounts over the past couple of months.,. The services that attract and keep hold of these customers’ attention and funds will be those that have good brand reputations, offer low or no fees, and are as easy as possible for novices to use.
- Advisors will need digital platforms. Financial advisors will need secure digital platforms that enable them to serve their clients. Advisors will need tools like chat, co-browsing and video that enable them to collaborate in real time with customers on investment decisions and asset allocations through digital touchpoints. Some digital-only players such as Betterment already license proprietary technology which enables elements of this to other advisors, a factor that could be key to their own survival as demand for digital servicing grows across the industry.
- Digitalisation will accelerate. Movement towards truly digital services in investment management has been slow, especially in comparison with retail banking. That will now accelerate as firms realise it will help them better understand customers’ needs and what products would meet them. It will also aid businesses holistically move towards sustainability and success in the new economic environment.
- Regulators will tweak the rules, not throw out the rule book. The crash of 2008 resulted in some of the biggest upheavals to financial services regulation ever seen — because the crisis was caused by the financial services industry. This time, regulators will seek to alleviate harm and balance the protection of customers and firms in constantly changing circumstances. Some are already altering investment rules. For example, the UK’s FCA has said it will stop enforcing the Mifid rule that requires firms to inform customers every time their portfolio drops 10% or more. Both the FCA and FATF have recommended the use of digital identity technology to allow as many customer interactions to carry on as possible.
- Consolidation looks inevitable. The investment management industry has seen some big mergers in the past few years, such as the £11 billion deal between Standard Life and Aberdeen Asset Management and the £26 billion Charles Schwab and TD Ameritrade union. We will see more mergers over the next few years as inefficient firms seek survival through scale. Larger digital players like Betterment and Wealthfront, which have also diversified and are therefore better placed to survive, will acquire smaller firms that have customers, technologies or employees that larger firms value. Smaller digital-only players with no clear path to profitability will become acquisition targets for their larger peers of all breeds.
Recommendations: Make businesses wholly customer centric
Over the coming months and years the investment management industry is going to be forced to evolve by circumstances and regulation. To ensure they are on the front foot as this happens firms should:
- Be transparent with customers. Customers will already be on edge due to broader circumstances, so tone and content of communication is paramount. Firms should be the first to let customers know of any impact on, or changes they are making to, their business, and the implications of either on customers. Give customers information that could reassure them, such as explaining that markets do suffer volatility at times, and what they can reasonably expect to happen next.
- Look for where automation can help. When creating a digitalisation strategy, the first logical step is to evaluate which processes can be automated and where paper forms can be eradicated. That should lead to reduced costs and faster processing in some areas, freeing up valuable resources to be used elsewhere.
- Give customers as much control as possible. Widespread feelings of anxiety and unease result in people seeking to take control over whatever they can. Help customers to feel in control by enabling them to do as many operations as possible digitally. That means prioritising the quality and capacity of existing remote channels and the development of new ones like secure live chat services and chatbots that can answer FAQs.
- Evaluate innovation strategies. Do not put the brakes on innovation or digital initiatives. Instead use existing teams and adapt their focus to centre on how best to prepare the business for what lies ahead. Devote resources to understanding investors’ needs, such as using approaches like ethnographic research and Jobs To Be Done, and then seeking more efficient ways to meet those needs.
Risk Mitigation & The US Election
We need to talk about the election.
For the past four months, news cycles have been dominated by the COVID-19 pandemic. It is easy to forget that, for investors, the November US election was to be the defining issue of 2020. The winner will potentially impact the direction of travel of investments, regulation, corporate earnings and balance sheets for at least the next four years.
- Learn how to protect your assets against the risks posed by the US election
- Understand how Chief Investment Officers are adapting to the United States’ political landscape to gain a competitive edge
- Identify investment opportunities in this uncertain time
We will be joined by:
- Shannon Saccocia, Chief Investment Officer, Boston Private
- Stephanie Link, Chief Investment Strategist, Hightower Advisors
If you can’t make it, sign up and I will send you the recordings.
Research Lead, Financial Services
Investment Summit by Reuters Events
Phone: +44 7748655237
Email: [email protected]
Investment Summit by Reuters Events is part of Thomson Reuters.
Investment Summit by Reuters Events is the central hub for investment executives. Through in-depth industry analysis, targeted research, niche events and quality content, we provide the industry with a platform to network, discuss, learn and shape the future of investment.
The impact of a recession on your pension
By James Turner, Director at Turner Little
The stock market is beginning to show signs of life as measures introduced to help businesses amid the pandemic begin to take hold, but much is still uncertain. There’s no doubt that the pandemic has affected most people’s finances. From the Bank of England’s decision to reduce its rates, to the potential loss of earnings for people forced to remain at home, there is much to contend with.
“Naturally, at times of economic uncertainty such as these, people fear their retirement pots will be wiped out. For most people, their pension is one of the most valuable assets they hold,” says James Turner, Director at Company Formation Specialists, Turner Little.
So how could the continued pandemic and impending recession affect your pensions?
“If you have a defined contribution pension, your savings have probably been hit hard as a consequence, because pension schemes invest in the stock market, so big rises and falls can have an impact,” says James.
“It is important to remember that pension savings, as with any investment, is usually long-term. If you’re young, there’s still time for markets to recover before you take your pension, but if you’re close to retirement, there is the potential that your pot could have taken a bigger hit,” he adds.
Pensions are typically invested in stocks and shares, bonds, property and cash. If you’re concerned about its value, most schemes now have online platforms where you can see how your investments are performing.
“It’s important to treat your pension as an asset, and asset protection is all about planning. Effective planning ensures that no matter what happens, you will remain in control of your assets,” says James.
If you’re interested in finding our more about asset protection and would like to discuss your specific requirements, get in touch with us today. Our specialist team of experts will deal with matters pragmatically and sensitively, taking the time to meet with you and discuss your individual objectives in detail, in order to provide solutions that are uniquely tailored to your needs.
The Business Case for Sustainable Wealth Creation: A Conscious Mindset Approach
By Mirjana Boznovska
The scale of the planetary crisis is so big that a fundamental shift is needed from business leaders and all stakeholders including investors, human resources as well as consumers. There is a new way of thinking emerging, one that is shaping the future of sustainable wealth creation with a focus on conscious mindset.
Humanity’s prosperity is linked to expanding our definition of wealth to include a respect for the environment and empathy for others. All of these come together and are the source of true innovation. Our future depends on learning to create wealth in sustainable ways.
Money and wealth are tools which help create opportunities. Opportunities for those who have it to do “good” in their environment, their community and globally. Serving society is the most inspiring and never-ending source for economic activities, creating value for humanity.
Sustainable wealth is future benefit that sustains future life. Sustainable wealth means consumption or the using up of benefits must equal additional investments that increase wealth, so wealth is maintained and sustained. When the spiritual dimension of wealth is interjected in the economic equation, physical wealth expands on two counts: a) there would be a lowered desire to consume materialism and b) the spirit of service would inevitably lead to increased wealth. Balancing ecological and economic consideration is an acceptable short-term goal of co-creating sustainable wealth, but in fact ecological restoration must be the long-term goal.
This would be possible only when unsuspected sources of clean energy are tapped and scientific research in ecological restoration is pursued. This is one way of looking at co-creating wealth that can help humanity pay back its ecological deficit. It’s about creating value without destroying value. The systems we create need to serve all individuals and the system itself.
Today our systems are increasingly feeding only the super-wealthy, and everything we understand about the human psyche is that we are creating a class of super selfish, super greedy people who take at the expense of individuals, society and our ecological systems. The depletion of social and environmental capital weakens our social systems. The world is interconnected, and different parameters are having an impact on our lives, our profession and on the worldwide economy.
The question that arises is how can we as an individual and as part of the global economy create sustainable wealth, balancing economic and ecological priorities?
The question is closely depending on how we start and manage a sustainable economy based on strong and long-term industry. The global economy remains market-centred, even though the evidence has been mounting that these markets are failing us and the planet. Tweaking this model isn’t good enough We need a new paradigm which will provide a new theory that fits our unfolding reality, a new environment-centred economics that can maximize not profit alone but the well-being of living things – it’s about conscious business which requires conscious leadership.
The Three P’s
Conscious business supports the idea of the three P’s: People, Profit, Planet. The authentic motives behind such choices are self-mastery, love, care and the desire to serve.
What is Business Sustainability? Business sustainability is often defined as managing the triple bottom line, a process by which businesses manage their financial, social and environment risks, obligations, and opportunities. We can extend this definition to capture more than just accounting for environmental and social impacts. Sustainable businesses are resilient, and they create economic value, healthy ecosystems, and strong communities. These businesses survive external crisis because they are intimately connected to healthy economic, social, and environmental systems. They require conscious leadership with a conscious culture and conscious service. A paradigm is a set of interconnected ideas that have a logical cohesion.
The Business Model for the 21st Century
In most discussions about the business case for sustainability, the emphasis has been on the bottom line. The value of sustainability has been analysed from every direction—revenues, profits, and share prices. However, sustainability is more than just about firm-level benefits. Businesses, business schools, and society recognize that the current course of production and consumption cannot be sustained within our natural resource limits.
Businesses develop the products and services consumed by individuals around the world. The vast resources extracted by business for society’s use have created waste streams that find their way into our land, air and water and compromise human health. New businesses are being built on an understanding of the problems that have emerged through the 20th century. Increasingly, old businesses are evolving to use fewer resources, intensify the resources they do use, and renew and reuse the products they sell. New relationships are forming between businesses as firms realize synergies from interdependence; one firm can profit from another’s waste, or several firms can benefit through flexible supply chain relationships built on common interest.
The 21st century is revealing a new paradigm in which business is no longer separate from society. Realizing the new “business-as-society” paradigm will require the efforts and ingenuity of organizations across sectors and industries. It will challenge the current generation of business leaders to apply their hard-won knowledge to novel problems, and the next generation to evolve into conscious leadership and address issues of unprecedented importance and complexity. Those businesses that identified the hurdles and challenges described in this article, along with those businesses that aim to overcome them, will help to shape this new business landscape. The concept of sustainability is undeniably compelling.
Let’s consider for a moment the move towards a paradigm whereby the business decisions were aligned with the best ecological decisions, ie conscious business and conscious service. The business case for sustainability draws on several core arguments. Pro-environmental practices create positive brand associations among consumers, politicians, and regulators. They also anticipate regulatory trends and position the company favorably when such policies become law. The mindset shift required that seeks to further efficiency in materials and waste carries over into other realms of conscious leadership. Similarly, the innovation required to overcome environmental challenges promotes innovation generally. And employees have high morale when they believe in what their company is doing.
However, there are still many barriers to sustainable wealth creation as it would appear. When we take a step deeper into the definition of service, fear usually comes up, uncertainty, and a moment of self-definition. Who am I and what do I serve? Whether inside or outside the business world, the same questions arise.
“It doesn’t fit the business model” or “How are we supposed to measure the impact” are common examples of why it requires a mindset shift to start building sustainability from supply chain activities to HR practices.
Ordinarily such principles fall into the realm of self-awareness, self-mastery, and spirituality, separate from, and opposed to the world of commerce. Essentially a desire that comes from within, to have a positive impact and make a difference in the world which comes from the highest calling to serve. Leaders seem conflicted. It is time for this separation to end. Everyone, even the most jaded corporate executive, yearns for it on some level, yearns to align his/her productive life with his deepest care and highest values. Essentially it is the human condition, that we each want to know that we have made a positive difference in the world. This does not mean to ignore business realities and throw caution to the wind. It means to take the next, slightly scary, slightly outrageous, next step. It is the step for which there is no credible “business case.” It comes from a different motive – it comes from within.
In fact, the “business case for sustainability” does hint at something true. When we take a step into service, the world eventually reciprocates our generosity, albeit in a form and timing that is impossible to predict. A business “case” involves numbers and predictions, but the general principle that it is trying to convey is that the gift moves in a circle. As you do unto the world, so, in some form, will be done unto you.
To take this next step always requires at least a little courage, because it goes against familiar practice and predictable financial self-interest. Someday, hopefully soon, we must change the business environment to end the opposition between profit and ecological well-being and promote the alignment of ecology and money.
Herein lies a vastly different sort of “business case” for sustainability. It comes from questions like, “Who are you, really?” “What do you care about?” and “What do you serve?” “What are your values and belief systems?” “What is your unique self-expression you bring to the world to serve others?” From a deep consideration of such questions, courage is born to overcome the hurdles.
Hurdles to Overcome for Business Sustainability
- Measurement of sustainability.
Sustainability initiatives can be particularly difficult to measure because they often affect people and society at a macro level, and their organizational implications are unclear. Further, their impacts are not immediately obvious, and they depend on who implements them and how. Many suites of metrics and measurement systems—such as the Global Reporting Initiative, ecological footprint, and life-cycle assessment—currently exist to help managers measure their sustainability. Government policies need to incentivise outcomes and be more clearly connected to sustainability. Governments have several tools at their disposal, such as taxes, regulations, and markets, to encourage businesses to steward environmental resources.
- Consumer choices do not consistently factor sustainability into their purchase decisions.
Understanding how consumers value sustainability in the context of other product attributes would help businesses develop products that meet their needs. Further, there may be a role for business in educating consumers on issues and product attributes, resulting in more informed purchasing decisions. It also applies to investors. Shareholders and lenders must decide where to invest their money. How do they choose between different companies, which requires trading off one set of corporate attributes for another? Understanding how people make trade-offs will help businesses make sustainable choices.
- Sustainability still does not fit neatly into the business case.
Companies have difficulty discriminating between the most important opportunities and threats on the horizon. Better guidelines are needed for engaging key stakeholders,
- Research shows employees would rather work for sustainable firms—and some would even forego higher earnings to do so.
Firms must better leverage this knowledge to attract and retain the best employees. These mechanisms should allow firms to leverage their sustainability initiatives and values, building the right capacity internally and ensuring progress is made towards sustainability goals.
- Current financial decision-making does not fully capture the value of sustainability-related investments.
These investments are often based on long-term and intangible rewards, whereas many investments made are based on the short-term impact on the bottom line. Sustainability managers need to be well informed exactly how returns on sustainability investments can be measured and seen. What are the short-term and long-term ways to assess and justify these investments? How can sustainability executives demonstrate the value of sustainability within the decision-making language and framework of finance executives? Until sustainability becomes accepted as a legitimate—and value-creating—activity, it may lose out to projects that are more easily understood and evaluated.
- Businesses need guidance on how to evaluate the materiality of an issue, both for disclosure purposes and for strategic planning.
Equipped with an understanding of which risks and opportunities are most material to their organization, managers can then prioritize material issues, translate them into internal strategies, and communicate them to stakeholders. There is no common set of rules for sourcing sustainably.
- Businesses want to purchase products and services that are environmentally and socially responsible. But the process of identifying sustainable suppliers is not always straightforward, and the means for comparing products is not always obvious. Sustainable sourcing decisions may also require industry-specific knowledge and practices, or data that just may not be available. Identifying a set of best practices for sustainable sourcing would provide organizations with targets for benchmarking as well as guidance on managing their supply chains. It would also yield an opportunity for leading businesses to showcase their good practices.
The Old Money Paradigm and Why It’s Not Sustainable
While conventional investing only focuses on the traditional risk and returns considerations in making investment decisions, socially responsible investing considers other ethical factors .The world needs to focus on mutually beneficial partnerships, fostering sustainable development across the continent, targeting the continent’s inhabitants as its primary consumers. Reports such as one published recently by the Business and Sustainable Development Commission, show that sustainable business is an untapped $12 trillion opportunity, making sustainability the most lucrative business sector there is.
What Is Money? Why Was It Created?
Money, in some way, shape or form, has been part of human history for at least the last 3,000 years. Before that time, historians generally agree that a system of bartering likely used. Money derives its value by virtue of its functions: as a medium of exchange, a unit of measurement, and a storehouse for wealth. It is merely an exchange of energy.
A New Paradigm Shift in Wealth Creation
Creating and amassing wealth is more than just a necessity. For centuries, the practice of climbing the ladder to richness has led to wars, influenced literature, and shaped cultures. Whether wealth comes in the form of money or food, all civilizations have pursued it.
The system of wealth creation is based on the current worldview, which in turn is based on the way science is studied and perceived. Most people will not be aware of existing paradigms of wealth creation. They will be too busy accumulating and creating wealth rather than being concerned with the process which they and their wealth underwent.
The paradigm is all about teamwork – to create wealth, everyone must help each other succeed. No longer are the lesser indebted to make the greater richer. Everyone has to run the race, but everyone must hold hands to reach the finish line together.
Sustainable Wealth Creation addresses three very important questions:
- Do financial statements accurately reflect a company’s position?
- Do shareholders have protections and adequate controls?
- Can company leadership make decisions confidently?
Sustainable Wealth Creation principles help answer these important questions by investigating the accounting, legal, regulatory, adjudicative, and economic structures of a country.
Economic systems change at a surprisingly fast pace. Since the information varies over time, the information needs to be monitored and refreshed to gain important insights when making investment decisions involving international equities.
An iceberg is a metaphor for traditional investment analysis regarding international equities. Most international analyses parallel domestic analyses by focusing on the traditional metrics that are akin to the visible part of an iceberg. The hidden information is like the submerged portion of an iceberg. It is key to success (or even survival) but not readily discovered.
What Lessons Are You Teaching Your Children About Money?
Modelling a way of being to our children.
If you don’t take the opportunity to educate your child how to manage money, the value of money and sustainable wealth creation, somebody else will. They will fall within the collective way of thinking. Conscious parenting involves sharing with our children the awareness of our environment, our power of choice, personal responsibility and self-mastery.
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