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    Home > Finance > Bank of England's Taylor expects inflation to fall to target 'in the near term'
    Finance

    Bank of England's Taylor expects inflation to fall to target 'in the near term'

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on December 8, 2025

    2 min read

    Last updated: January 20, 2026

    Bank of England's Taylor expects inflation to fall to target 'in the near term' - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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    Tags:monetary policyUK economyinterest ratesfinancial markets

    Quick Summary

    Bank of England's Alan Taylor expects UK inflation to meet the 2% target soon, with slowing wage and services inflation.

    Bank of England's Taylor Sees Inflation Target Met Soon

    LONDON, Dec 8 (Reuters) - British inflation is likely to return to its 2% target "in the near term" as wage growth and inflation in the services sector look set to slow further, Bank of England policymaker Alan Taylor said on Monday.

    "We've got our foot on the brake a little bit still, but I see us achieving the inflation target, as we should, in the near term," Taylor said at an event hosted by management consultants McKinsey.

    "Our forecast path shows that coming along next year as both wage inflation and services inflation are continuing to come down in recent prints," he added.

    The BoE's forecasts last month showed consumer price inflation, which was 3.6% in October, falling to 2.5% in the final quarter of next year and returning to target in 2027.

    Taylor has regularly voted for the BoE to cut rates faster, including at November's Monetary Policy Committee meeting where he was part of a 5-4 minority who voted for a quarter-point rate cut to 3.75%.

    In minutes explaining that decision, he said he expected inflation to be weaker than forecast and that it could fall below target. He also pointed to upward revisions to the BoE's forecasts of how high unemployment would rise.

    Financial markets on Monday saw a roughly 85% chance that the BoE will cut interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point on December 18 but only priced in one further rate cut next year to 3.5%.

    Taylor said in July that he believed the neutral level of BoE interest rates - where they neither push up nor pull down on inflation - was around 2.75%, lower than most MPC members think.

    (Reporting by David MillikenEditing by Tomasz Janowski)

    Key Takeaways

    • •Inflation expected to hit 2% target soon.
    • •Wage and services inflation are slowing.
    • •BoE forecasts inflation to fall to 2.5% next year.
    • •Alan Taylor advocates for faster rate cuts.
    • •Financial markets anticipate a rate cut in December.

    Frequently Asked Questions about Bank of England's Taylor expects inflation to fall to target 'in the near term'

    1What is inflation?

    Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services rises, eroding purchasing power. It is typically measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI).

    2What is monetary policy?

    Monetary policy refers to the actions taken by a country's central bank to control the money supply and interest rates to achieve macroeconomic objectives such as controlling inflation and stabilizing currency.

    3What are interest rates?

    Interest rates are the cost of borrowing money or the return on savings, expressed as a percentage of the principal amount. They are influenced by central bank policies and economic conditions.

    4What is the Bank of England?

    The Bank of England is the central bank of the United Kingdom, responsible for issuing currency, managing monetary policy, and ensuring financial stability.

    5What is wage growth?

    Wage growth refers to the increase in the average wage level of workers over time, often influenced by factors such as inflation, labor demand, and economic conditions.

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