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    3. >Asia's factory activity slows on cost pressure from Iran war
    Finance

    Asia's Factory Activity Slows on Cost Pressure From Iran War

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on April 1, 2026

    3 min read

    Last updated: April 1, 2026

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    Tags:FinanceManufacturingMarketsAsiaEconomy

    Quick Summary

    Factory activity in Asia slowed in March amid surging energy costs and global uncertainty from the Iran war, with most regional PMIs dipping or moderating—except South Korea, which held up thanks to strong semiconductor demand.

    Asia's Factory Output Slows as Iran War Drives Up Oil Prices and Costs

    Impact of Rising Oil Prices and Geopolitical Uncertainty on Asian Manufacturing

    By Leika Kihara

    Factory Activity Slows Across Asia

    TOKYO, April 1 (Reuters) - Many Asian economies saw factory activity slow in March, business surveys showed on Wednesday, a sign surging fuel costs and heightening global uncertainty from the Iran war were taking a toll on the region.

    The findings highlight the challenge policymakers face in a region that buys about 80% of the oil that is shipped through the Strait of Hormuz, making many countries vulnerable to the hit from the energy shock caused by the war.

    Country-Specific Manufacturing Trends

    China: Growth Amid Rising Pressures

    China's manufacturing sector expanded in March for a fourth straight month but saw inflationary pressures and supply chain strains intensify, a private survey showed.

    The RatingDog China General Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), compiled by S&P Global, fell to 50.8 in March from 52.1 in February, missing analysts' forecast of 51.6. The 50-mark separates growth from contraction.

    Widespread Slowdown in Southeast Asia

    Manufacturing activity in March slowed in economies ranging from Indonesia, Vietnam, Taiwan and the Philippines, other PMIs showed, highlighting the pain the Middle East conflict was already inflicting on businesses.

    Japan: Cost Pressures and Weak Yen

    Japanese factories also took a hit from the souring business mood and cost pressures, which hit a 19-month high.

    The final S&P Global Japan Manufacturing PMI fell to 51.6 in March from 53.0 in February. Input prices rose at the fastest rate since August 2024 as the Middle East war drove up energy and raw material prices, adding to cost pressures from a weak yen and labour shortages.

    Expert Insight

    "The war has also fuelled greater uncertainty about the global economic outlook, dampening business confidence and resulting in more cautious hiring and purchasing activity," said Annabel Fiddes, Economics Associate Director at S&P Global Market Intelligence.

    Indonesia and Vietnam: Notable Declines

    Indonesia's PMI fell to 50.1 from 53.8 in February, while that of Vietnam slowed to 51.2 from 54.3 in the previous month, the surveys showed.

    South Korea: An Outlier with Strong Growth

    South Korea was an outlier with factory activity expanding at the strongest pace in more than four years in March, led by semiconductor demand and new product launches.

    Broader Economic Effects

    Oil Market Disruptions and Currency Impacts

    Markets have been rattled this month after the Iran war effectively shut the Strait of Hormuz, a chokepoint for about a fifth of global oil and gas flows, driving up crude oil prices and broader inflation.

    Increasing demand for the safe-haven dollar has also pushed down emerging Asian currencies, heightening challenges for the region's central banks seeking to shield their economies from the second order effects of the war.

    (Reporting by Leika Kihara; Editing by Sam Holmes)

    References

    • China factory activity rebounds in March as Iran war looms over growth
    • Economic impact of the 2026 Iran war
    • Indonesia’s Manufacturing PMI Hits 53.8 in February 2026 - RRI.co.id
    • South Korea factory activity expands for third month on output jump, PMI shows By Reuters

    Table of Contents

    Key Takeaways

    • •China’s official manufacturing PMI rose modestly to 50.4 in March, but inflationary pressures and energy cost risks loom (apnews.com)
    • •Energy disruptions from the Iran war—closure of the Strait of Hormuz, oil spikes above $120—are escalating cost pressure across Asia (en.wikipedia.org)

    Frequently Asked Questions about Asia's factory activity slows on cost pressure from Iran war

    1How has the Iran war affected factory activity in Asia?

    The Iran war has increased oil prices and global uncertainty, slowing factory activity and straining supply chains in several Asian economies.

    2Which Asian countries experienced slower manufacturing growth in March?

    Japan, Indonesia, Vietnam, Taiwan, and the Philippines all saw slower manufacturing growth in March due to rising costs and uncertainty.

    • Impact of Rising Oil Prices and Geopolitical Uncertainty on Asian Manufacturing
    • Factory Activity Slows Across Asia
    • Country-Specific Manufacturing Trends
    • China: Growth Amid Rising Pressures
    • Widespread Slowdown in Southeast Asia
    • Japan: Cost Pressures and Weak Yen
    • Expert Insight
    • Indonesia and Vietnam: Notable Declines
    • South Korea: An Outlier with Strong Growth
    • Broader Economic Effects
    • Oil Market Disruptions and Currency Impacts
  • •Indonesia’s PMI slowed to around 50.1 in March from 53.8 in February, as war‑related supply shocks and input cost hikes weighed on activity (rri.co.id)
  • •South Korea remained resilient, with February PMI at 51.1 driven by semiconductor export strength, although risks from disruptions to chip supply chains persist (investing.com)
  • 3How did oil price increases impact Asian economies?

    Higher oil prices raised energy and production costs, affecting 80% of the region's oil imports and increasing inflationary pressures.

    4Were there any exceptions to the factory slowdown in Asia?

    Yes, South Korea experienced strong manufacturing growth led by demand for semiconductors and new products, bucking the regional slowdown.

    5What challenges do central banks in Asia face due to the Iran war?

    Central banks must manage inflation, currency depreciation, and safeguard economies from the indirect effects of the oil-driven economic shock.

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