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    1. Home
    2. >Finance
    3. >Analysts cut Russia's economic growth forecast for 2026: Reuters poll
    Finance

    Analysts Cut Russia's Economic Growth Forecast for 2026: Reuters Poll

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on March 31, 2026

    1 min read

    Last updated: March 31, 2026

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    Quick Summary

    A Reuters poll of 16 analysts now sees Russia’s economy growing just 0.8% in 2026, down from 1.0% a month earlier, aligning with IMF projections and underscoring a broader trend of downward revisions amid cooling economic momentum.

    Analysts Lower Russia's Economic Growth Forecast for 2026: Reuters Survey

    Revised Economic Outlook for Russia

    Current Year Growth Projections

    MOSCOW, March 31 (Reuters) - The Russian economy will grow by 0.8% this year, down from a forecast of 1% a month ago, according to a Reuters poll of 16 analysts on Tuesday, echoing an earlier government announcement that the official forecast could be downgraded.

    2026 Forecast and Government Statements

    Official 2026 Growth Forecast

    The government forecasts economic growth of 1.3% in 2026, but Economy Minister Maxim Reshetnikov warned last week that this forecast could be revised downward in April after a "tough" first half of the year.

    Comments from Officials

    (Reporting by Elena Fabrichnaya; Writing by Gleb Bryanski)

    References

    • IMF Slashes Russia’s 2026 Growth Forecast to 0.8% - The Moscow Times
    • Russian economy will slow in H1, recovery expected in late 2026 or more likely in 2027 - Reshetnikov

    Table of Contents

    • Revised Economic Outlook for Russia
    • Current Year Growth Projections
    • 2026 Forecast and Government Statements
    • Official 2026 Growth Forecast

    Key Takeaways

    • •Reuters poll trims 2026 GDP growth forecast to 0.8%, down from 1.0% previously
    • •IMF’s latest outlook also projects 0.8% growth for Russia in 2026, below government’s 1.3% target (themoscowtimes.com)
    • •Economy Minister Reshetnikov cautions that first‑half 2026 will be ‘tough’ and that recovery may only begin in late 2026 or 2027 (interfax.com)

    Frequently Asked Questions about Analysts cut Russia's economic growth forecast for 2026: Reuters poll

    1Who conducted the poll on Russia's economic outlook?

    The poll was conducted by Reuters and included 16 analysts.

    Comments from Officials
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