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    1. Home
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    3. >Strategists optimistic on China even as US-China trade war climbdown looks far off
    Headlines

    Strategists Optimistic on China Even as US-China Trade War Climbdown Looks Far Off

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on May 5, 2025

    2 min read

    Last updated: January 24, 2026

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    Quick Summary

    Experts remain optimistic about China's economy despite ongoing US-China trade tensions. Investment opportunities are noted in Chinese stocks.

    Strategists See Positive Outlook for China Amid Trade Tensions

    By Ankika Biswas

    (Reuters) -As financial markets pin their hopes on a de-escalation in the U.S.-China trade war, some experts caution that meaningful progress in striking a deal between the world's two largest economies may still be some way off.

    "Either tariffs are cut to more palatable levels or both sides put more exclusions on the table to make tariffs effectively less binding," Aidan Yao, Amundi's senior investment strategist for Asia, told the Reuters Global Markets Forum.

    "For now, signs of these are sparse, presumably because the pain threshold has not been reached," Yao said, adding that the outlook for the Chinese economy still looks positive.

    China recently said it was "evaluating" a U.S. proposal to resume trade talks over Washington's 145% tariffs. It has also created a list of U.S.-made products for exemption from its 125% retaliatory tariffs.

    Sat Duhra, portfolio manager at Janus Henderson, said, "Trump will need to respond if the threat of a recession increases significantly, which the equity market, dollar and the Treasuries arguably are beginning to point to."

    He said a resolution would benefit his company's positioning in China.

    Duhra has been lapping up Chinese stocks, noting opportunities in banks, technology and sportswear among other sectors, citing higher dividends and lower valuations.

    While Janus Henderson is broadly "neutral weight" on Chinese equities, Amundi holds a close to "neutral" stance, preferring domestic-oriented sectors in A-shares and AI-leading tech names in offshore stocks.

    China's blue-chip CSI300 and Shanghai Composite are down 4% and 2% year-to-date, respectively, in line with their U.S. counterparts - S&P 500 and Nasdaq down 3% and 7%, respectively.

    "News on tariffs have become mostly noise for the Chinese markets... They don't set the trend anymore unless a U-turn on Trump's policies is achieved," Yao said, adding that China is well-positioned in terms of economic size and domestic policies to cushion the impact of external shocks.

    (Join GMF, a chat room hosted on LSEG Messenger: https://lseg.group/3KFHrhe)

    (Reporting by Ankika Biswas in Bengaluru; Editing by Hugh Lawson)

    Key Takeaways

    • •Experts caution that a US-China trade deal may be far off.
    • •China is evaluating a US proposal to resume trade talks.
    • •Investment opportunities seen in Chinese banks and tech.
    • •Chinese markets less affected by tariff news recently.
    • •China's economy is poised to handle external shocks.

    Frequently Asked Questions about Strategists optimistic on China even as US-China trade war climbdown looks far off

    1What is the main topic?

    The article discusses the ongoing US-China trade war and its impact on China's economy and global markets.

    2Another relevant question?

    How are Chinese stocks performing amid trade tensions?

    3Third question about the topic?

    What are the investment opportunities in China according to experts?

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