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    1. Home
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    3. >German manufacturing sees tentative signs of hope, PMI shows
    Finance

    German Manufacturing Sees Tentative Signs of Hope, PMI Shows

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on June 2, 2025

    2 min read

    Last updated: January 23, 2026

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    Tags:SurveyGDPemployment opportunitieseconomic growthInternational trade

    Quick Summary

    Germany's manufacturing sector shows recovery signs with rising export orders and increased production, despite PMI remaining below 50.

    Germany's Manufacturing Sector Shows Signs of Recovery, PMI Indicates

    (Reuters) - Germany's manufacturing activity fell in May, although the sector saw a third straight monthly increase in output driven by a continued rise in new export orders, according to a survey released on Monday.

    The headline HCOB Germany Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) registered 48.3 in May, slightly down from April's 48.4. A reading below 50 indicates contraction, marking the thirty-fifth consecutive month of sub-50 readings.

    Despite the overall PMI remaining in contraction territory, production volumes increased for the third month in a row, supported by a second consecutive monthly rise in new export orders. International sales grew at a modest pace, with stronger demand reported across Europe and increased sales to the U.S., partly driven by stockpiling ahead of potential tariff increases.

    "Most people have got so used to gloomy headlines from the industrial sector that the good news often slips under the radar," said Dr. Cyrus de la Rubia, Chief Economist at Hamburg Commercial Bank AG. "Production has now increased for the third month in a row, and foreign orders have been on the rise for two straight months."

    Employment continued to decline, although the rate of job shedding was the softest since January 2024. Purchasing activity came close to stabilising, marking the smallest decline since mid-2022, and contributing to a slower fall in input stocks.

    On the price front, average factory gate charges showed a renewed decline, driven by competitive pressures and a further steep drop in input costs. Input prices eased again, influenced by factors such as lower oil prices and a stronger euro.

    Business expectations rebounded in May, reaching the highest level since February 2022, buoyed by hopes of increased public sector spending and a potential trade agreement between the U.S. and EU.

    (Reporting by Reuters; Editing by Toby Chopra)

    Key Takeaways

    • •Germany's PMI remains below 50, indicating contraction.
    • •Manufacturing output increased for the third consecutive month.
    • •New export orders are rising, boosting production volumes.
    • •Employment decline slows, with smallest job shedding since Jan 2024.
    • •Business expectations rebound to highest since Feb 2022.

    Frequently Asked Questions about German manufacturing sees tentative signs of hope, PMI shows

    1What does the PMI reading indicate about Germany's manufacturing?

    The HCOB Germany Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) registered 48.3 in May, indicating contraction as it remains below 50.

    2How has production changed in Germany's manufacturing sector?

    Production volumes increased for the third consecutive month, supported by a rise in new export orders.

    3What are the current trends in employment within the manufacturing sector?

    Employment continued to decline, but the rate of job shedding was the softest since January 2024.

    4What factors are influencing price changes in the manufacturing sector?

    Average factory gate charges showed a decline due to competitive pressures and a drop in input costs.

    5What are the business expectations for the future in Germany's manufacturing?

    Business expectations rebounded in May, reaching the highest level since February 2022, driven by hopes for increased public sector spending and a potential trade agreement between the U.S. and EU.

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