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    1. Home
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    3. >Italy's July industrial output unexpectedly rises in renewed sign of recovery
    Finance

    Italy's July Industrial Output Unexpectedly Rises in Renewed Sign of Recovery

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on September 10, 2025

    2 min read

    Last updated: January 22, 2026

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    Quick Summary

    Italy's industrial output rose by 0.4% in July, defying expectations of a decline, signaling a recovery in the manufacturing sector.

    Italy's July industrial output unexpectedly rises in renewed sign of recovery

    ROME (Reuters) - Italian industrial output rose by 0.4% in July from the previous month, data showed on Wednesday, in a further sign of recovery for the long-struggling manufacturing sector.

    A Reuters survey of 14 analysts had pointed to a 0.1% decrease.

    The data was the second positive surprise in a row, after a 0.2% month-on-month rise in June compared to a forecast of a 0.1% fall.

    On a work day-adjusted year-on-year basis, industrial output was up by 0.9% in July, following a 0.7% decrease in June revised from an originally reported 0.9% fall, national statistics agency ISTAT said.

    Retail lobby Confcommercio said the industrial sector is showing "signs of vitality", and emphasized that July's growth extended to all major industry groups with the exception of energy.

    "Signs that the downturn is over are strengthening," think tank Prometeia wrote in a report.

    Some hope of recovery was also offered earlier this month by a PMI survey, showing that the Italian manufacturing sector returned to growth in August after 16 months of contraction.

    Despite rising industrial output, outlook for growth at the euro zone's third largest economy is still cloudy after GDP shrank by 0.1% in the second quarter from the previous three months.

    The government in April halved its economic growth estimate for 2025 to 0.6% amid mounting uncertainty due to U.S. trade tariffs.

    Economy Minister Giancarlo Giorgetti on Sunday said that the economy will likely grow by 0.6% this year, in line with the government's target.

    (Reporting by Antonella Cinelli, graphic by Stefano Bernabei, editing by Giulia Segreti)

    Key Takeaways

    • •Italy's industrial output rose by 0.4% in July.
    • •Analysts had forecasted a 0.1% decrease.
    • •Output increased by 0.9% year-on-year.
    • •Growth extended to all major industry groups except energy.
    • •Economic outlook remains uncertain despite positive data.

    Frequently Asked Questions about Italy's July industrial output unexpectedly rises in renewed sign of recovery

    1What was the percentage increase in Italy's industrial output in July?

    Italian industrial output rose by 0.4% in July from the previous month.

    2How did analysts predict the industrial output would change?

    A Reuters survey of 14 analysts had pointed to a 0.1% decrease in industrial output.

    3What does the PMI survey indicate about the manufacturing sector?

    The PMI survey showed that the Italian manufacturing sector returned to growth in August after 16 months of contraction.

    4What is the current outlook for Italy's economic growth?

    Despite rising industrial output, the outlook for growth at Italy's economy remains cloudy after GDP shrank by 0.1% in the second quarter.

    5What did the government say about economic growth estimates?

    The government in April halved its economic growth estimate for 2025 to 0.6% amid uncertainty due to U.S. trade tariffs.

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