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    Home > Headlines > Exclusive-Ukraine raises projection for winter wheat area, boosting export prospects
    Headlines

    Exclusive-Ukraine raises projection for winter wheat area, boosting export prospects

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on October 1, 2025

    2 min read

    Last updated: January 21, 2026

    Exclusive-Ukraine raises projection for winter wheat area, boosting export prospects - Headlines news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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    Tags:agricultural sectorsimport and exporteconomic growth

    Quick Summary

    Ukraine increases winter wheat sowing area by 9%, boosting export prospects amid drought-affected crops. This move is crucial for funding defense against Russian forces.

    Table of Contents

    • Ukraine's Agricultural Adjustments
    • Impact of Drought on Crops
    • Current Sowing Progress
    • Future Harvest Expectations

    Ukraine Increases Winter Wheat Area Projection, Enhancing Export Outlook

    Ukraine's Agricultural Adjustments

    By Pavel Polityuk

    KYIV (Reuters) -Ukraine's economy ministry has increased its projection for the country's winter wheat sowing area by 9%, the deputy economy minister says, improving prospects for a boost to exports needed to help fund its defence against Russian forces.

    The sowing area for the 2026 winter wheat harvest is now expected to be at least 5.2 million hectares, up from a previous estimate in line with 2025 at 4.78 million hectares, Taras Vysotskiy told Reuters on Wednesday.

    Impact of Drought on Crops

    The increase comes at the expense of corn and sunflower crops that were hit by drought this year and does not include the area for spring wheat, which is usually estimated at 200,000 hectares.

    SUNFLOWER CROP DEVASTATED BY DROUGHT

    "I think producers will draw conclusions after this year's situation," Vysotskiy said, referring to the drought conditions that almost completely destroyed this year's sunflower crop and severely reduced yields for corn.

    Current Sowing Progress

    "There will be at least 5.2 million hectares (of winter wheat), mainly because in the southern regions farmers may decide not to sow sunflowers and corn after this year's weather."

    Vysotskiy did not provide a forecast for the 2026 wheat harvest, but Ukraine produced 22.5 million metric tons in 2025. Ukraine exported 15.7 million tons of wheat in the previous 2024/25 July-June season.

    Analyst APK-Inform last month cut its sunflower seed harvest forecast for the second time to 12.9 million metric tons, down from a previous projection of 13.6 million tons. It said that 2025 output could be among the lowest in the past 10 years.

    Winter wheat is more resilient and can use moisture reserves that enter the soil throughout autumn, winter and spring. It is less reliant on spring rains than many other crops.

    Future Harvest Expectations

    Farmers have already begun sowing wheat and had planted 672,000 hectares by September 25.

    Vysotskiy also said that the ministry had reduced its winter barley sowing forecast to about 550,000 hectares from 576,000 hectares. He did not specify reasons for the revision.

    (Reporting by Pavel PolityukEditing by David Goodman)

    Key Takeaways

    • •Ukraine increases winter wheat sowing area by 9%.
    • •Winter wheat area expected to reach 5.2 million hectares.
    • •Drought severely impacts corn and sunflower crops.
    • •Ukraine's wheat export crucial for defense funding.
    • •Winter wheat is more resilient to weather conditions.

    Frequently Asked Questions about Exclusive-Ukraine raises projection for winter wheat area, boosting export prospects

    1What is winter wheat?

    Winter wheat is a type of wheat that is sown in the fall and harvested in the spring or summer. It is known for its resilience and ability to utilize moisture from autumn and winter.

    2What are export prospects?

    Export prospects refer to the potential opportunities and outcomes for selling goods to foreign markets. In agriculture, this often involves assessing crop yields and market demand.

    3What is drought?

    Drought is an extended period of deficient rainfall relative to the statistical multi-year average for a region. It can severely impact agricultural production and water supply.

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