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    1. Home
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    3. >German economy expected to recover only slowly, banks association says
    Headlines

    German Economy Expected to Recover Only Slowly, Banks Association Says

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on April 2, 2025

    2 min read

    Last updated: January 24, 2026

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    Quick Summary

    The German economy is predicted to grow slowly at 0.2% this year, with significant recovery expected by 2026, according to the banks association.

    German Economy's Slow Recovery Predicted by Banks Association

    BERLIN (Reuters) - The German economy will recover from its prolonged period of weakness very slowly, growing by only 0.2% this year, according to the new forecasts of Germany's banks' association, seen by Reuters on Wednesday.

    The association had previously forecast growth of 0.7% for this year in its forecasts published in September.

    The economy is not expected to recover noticeably until 2026, with growth of 1.4%, the Association of German Banks said.

    The German economy has contracted for two consecutive years and its prospects for this year have worsened after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a 25% tariff on imported vehicles, which is expected to hit German automakers particularly hard.

    In 2026, the positive impact of Germany's fiscal package will be first reflected in growth figures, said Heiner Herkenhoff, CEO of the Association of German Banks.

    "However, with strong reforms and the prospect of a competitive tax policy, the new government could stimulate investment earlier," Herkenhoff said.

    The group is particularly concerned about corporate investment, which is expected to decline in real terms this year.

    "Even the expected increase of 3.5% for 2026 is rather weak compared to previous recoveries," Herkenhoff said, noting that before the European sovereign debt crisis corporate investment regularly rose by double-digits in economic upswings.

    (Reporting by Maria Martinez and Klaus Lauer; Editing by Leslie Adler)

    Key Takeaways

    • •German economy to grow by only 0.2% this year.
    • •Noticeable recovery expected by 2026 with 1.4% growth.
    • •25% U.S. tariff on vehicles impacts German automakers.
    • •Corporate investment expected to decline this year.
    • •Fiscal package to positively impact growth in 2026.

    Frequently Asked Questions about German economy expected to recover only slowly, banks association says

    1What is the main topic?

    The article discusses the slow recovery of the German economy as forecasted by the banks association.

    2How will the German economy perform this year?

    The German economy is expected to grow by only 0.2% this year.

    3When is the German economy expected to recover?

    A noticeable recovery is expected by 2026 with a growth rate of 1.4%.

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