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German exports expected to fall 2.5% this year, says BGA trade lobby
Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®
Posted on September 11, 2025
2 min readLast updated: January 22, 2026
Global Banking & Finance Review®
Company
Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®
Posted on September 11, 2025
2 min readLast updated: January 22, 2026
German exports are projected to fall by 2.5% this year due to global demand challenges and rising protectionism, according to the BGA trade association.
By Maria Martinez
BERLIN (Reuters) -German exports are expected to slump 2.5% this year as the sector faces "massive pressure" from weakening global demand, higher domestic costs and rising protectionism, the BGA trade association warned on Thursday.
Citing a new survey, BGA president Dirk Jandura said the group's foreign trade climate indicator remains deep in negative territory, with many firms reporting stagnant or falling sales.
"The situation remains fragile," Jandura said. "Foreign trade will remain the engine of our economy only if policymakers act decisively now."
The BGA also foresees imports jumping 4.5% in 2025.
Jandura pointed to trade tensions with the United States and China, higher tariffs, stricter supply chain rules and tighter export controls as factors eroding competitiveness and piling on costs.
Headwinds caused by U.S. tariffs were one factor behind leading German economic institutes' decision this month to trim growth forecasts for 2025 for Germany's export-reliant economy.
Jandura said many of the latest U.S. tariffs were so high that they made business "simply impossible" for some German exporters, effectively shutting them out of the U.S. market.
The U.S. was Germany's biggest trading partner in 2024 with two-way goods trade totalling 253 billion euros ($277.84 billion).
Nearly 60% of respondents said they were directly or indirectly negatively affected by the measures, said the BGA.
Additionally, 67% of the companies surveyed cited high extra costs from reporting requirements, which Jandura said were gradually destroying Europe's competitiveness.
(Reporting by Maria Martinez, Editing by Miranda Murray)
German exports are expected to slump by 2.5% this year due to massive pressure from weakening global demand and rising costs.
Factors include trade tensions with the U.S. and China, higher tariffs, stricter supply chain rules, and tighter export controls.
Many of the latest U.S. tariffs are so high that they have made business 'simply impossible' for some German exporters, effectively shutting them out of the U.S. market.
The BGA forecasts imports will jump by 4.5% in 2025, indicating a shift in trade dynamics.
Nearly 60% of respondents indicated they were directly or indirectly negatively affected by the trade measures imposed.
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