Connect with us

Global Banking and Finance Review is an online platform offering news, analysis, and opinion on the latest trends, developments, and innovations in the banking and finance industry worldwide. The platform covers a diverse range of topics, including banking, insurance, investment, wealth management, fintech, and regulatory issues. The website publishes news, press releases, opinion and advertorials on various financial organizations, products and services which are commissioned from various Companies, Organizations, PR agencies, Bloggers etc. These commissioned articles are commercial in nature. This is not to be considered as financial advice and should be considered only for information purposes. It does not reflect the views or opinion of our website and is not to be considered an endorsement or a recommendation. We cannot guarantee the accuracy or applicability of any information provided with respect to your individual or personal circumstances. Please seek Professional advice from a qualified professional before making any financial decisions. We link to various third-party websites, affiliate sales networks, and to our advertising partners websites. When you view or click on certain links available on our articles, our partners may compensate us for displaying the content to you or make a purchase or fill a form. This will not incur any additional charges to you. To make things simpler for you to identity or distinguish advertised or sponsored articles or links, you may consider all articles or links hosted on our site as a commercial article placement. We will not be responsible for any loss you may suffer as a result of any omission or inaccuracy on the website. .

Investing

BREXIT AND THE FED TO DRIVE INVESTORS TOWARDS THE DOLLAR UNTIL THE SUMMER

brexit

Investors are piling into the dollar  – and they are likely to continue to do so for the next two and a half months.

However due to the Federal Reserve’s dovish tone and possibility of Brexit, the dollar has lost ground against pound, affirms the Head of Foreign Exchange at one of the world’s largest independent financial advisory organisations.

The comments from deVere Group’s James Stanton come as sterling hit a nine-day high earlier this week against the dollar.

Mr Stanton comments: “The rally in sterling in March reflects the dovish remarks from Fed Chair Janet Yellen at the last Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting.

“The Fed, and foreign exchange traders, reduced their expectations of further rate hikes this year to just two – and for these to be highly dependent on ongoing strong economic data. This helped pull the dollar back against most major currencies, including sterling.

“This situation, combined with the uncertainty surrounding the possibility of the UK leaving the EU, is driving investors to pile into the greenback.  They are certainly not resting on their laurels as far as sterling is concerned.”

He continues: “A run on the pound is possible if Brexit appears likely. Driven by the uncertainty of economic policy, and trade relations with the EU in what will be a new political environment.

“Furthermore, yesterday’s announcement of a post-war record current account deficit, at 5.2 per cent of GDP, suggests a worrying dependence on foreigners’ enthusiasm for lending the UK money.

“Should this enthusiasm falter, post-Brexit, either the currency will sink or the Bank of England will have to raise interest rates ‎to protect sterling. Sterling might survive, but higher interest rates risk inducing a recession.

“Therefore, investors are using the recent strength of sterling against the dollar as a major dollar-buying opportunity, in the event of Brexit.  It can be expected that this will continue until the in/out referendum to decide Britain’s place within the EU.”

Mr Stanton concludes: “Sterling will be highly sensitive to the risk of Brexit over the coming months. But this need not be all bad news for the currency: a vote in favour of remaining in the EU could see sterling to jump to the $1.50 level.”

Global Banking & Finance Review

 

Why waste money on news and opinions when you can access them for free?

Take advantage of our newsletter subscription and stay informed on the go!


By submitting this form, you are consenting to receive marketing emails from: Global Banking & Finance Review │ Banking │ Finance │ Technology. You can revoke your consent to receive emails at any time by using the SafeUnsubscribe® link, found at the bottom of every email. Emails are serviced by Constant Contact

Recent Post